{
  "schema_version": "1.0",
  "generated_at": "2026-09-29T13:39:16.416776-04:00",
  "window_days": 365,
  "purpose": "Paper-trading record exported for strategy refinement. Read `caveats` before drawing any conclusion; several of them describe mistakes this system has already made with this exact data.",
  "summary": {
    "trades": 14,
    "scored": 14,
    "wins": 2,
    "losses": 12,
    "win_rate": 0.14285714285714285,
    "expectancy_r": -0.6122857142857142,
    "total_r": -8.572,
    "avg_win_r": 0.796,
    "avg_loss_r": -0.847,
    "realized_pnl": -3470.08
  },
  "caveats": [
    "These are PAPER trades. Fills are booked at the proposed entry tick: there is no slippage, no partial fill and no queue position, so realised R is optimistic relative to live trading.",
    "SURVIVORSHIP: `trades` are only the candidates that got a slot. The engine caps concurrent positions, cash and portfolio heat, so a factor that looks strong here may just be a factor that tends to rank first. Use `proposals` for an unbiased sample \u2014 it records the skipped picks and how they resolved.",
    "Judge factors by EXPECTANCY (mean R), not win rate. A 90% hit rate with oversized losers is a losing factor, and this system has already shipped one bug where a 100%-win-rate bucket was an artefact of unresolved outcomes.",
    "`unevaluable` counts the rubric factors whose inputs were missing when the candidate was scored. A score computed on partial inputs is a weaker claim than the same score computed on complete ones; do not pool them without checking this column.",
    "SAMPLE SIZE: the engine will not move a weight below 30 resolved trades, and shrinks any observed edge by n/(n+50). At n=18 a factor needs a 69.4% observed win rate merely to beat a coin flip at p<0.05. This export contains 14 scored trades and 115 proposals.",
    "`r_multiple` is signed by direction and measured against the stop that was set at entry. `planned_r` is the target's R at entry \u2014 the difference between them is execution, not signal quality.",
    "Equity is CURRENCY-BLIND on a mixed book: HKD and USD position values are summed as one float, so percentages are approximate when both markets are held at once.",
    "A day with no trades is not necessarily a quiet market. The bot has had total data blackouts (expired data-source credentials plus an upstream rate limit) during which every fetch returned empty. Check gaps in `equity_curve` and the proposal counts per session_date before reading an absence as a signal.",
    "DARK FACTORS: bullish_candle_pattern cannot be evaluated in the deployed environment at all, so they will never accumulate samples. Their absence from the data is an environment fact, not evidence about the market."
  ],
  "fields": {
    "trades": {
      "r_multiple": "realised outcome in units of risk; signed by direction",
      "planned_r": "target distance in units of risk, measured at entry",
      "unevaluable": "count of rubric factors whose inputs were missing",
      "factors": "rubric factor keys that fired for this candidate",
      "sector": "sector ETF resolved at entry; UNKNOWN symbols share one bucket"
    },
    "proposals": {
      "acted": "true when the proposal became a position",
      "skip_reason": "why it was passed on (slots, cash, heat cap, sector cap, ...)",
      "outcome": "HIT_TARGET / HIT_STOP / EXPIRED, resolved on the price path",
      "r_multiple": "outcome in R; present for resolved proposals"
    }
  },
  "trades": [
    {
      "id": 17,
      "status": "CLOSED",
      "market": "US",
      "symbol": "SMCI",
      "sector": "XLK",
      "side": "LONG",
      "qty": 450.0,
      "entry_price": 42.69,
      "entry_at": "2026-09-29T09:40:13.274172-04:00",
      "exit_price": 41.34,
      "exit_at": "2026-09-29T11:30:00.944195-04:00",
      "exit_reason": "STOP",
      "target_price": 43.68,
      "stop_price": 41.34,
      "realized_pnl": -607.5,
      "unrealized_pnl": 0.0,
      "last_price": 41.34,
      "holding_hours": 1.83,
      "r_multiple": -1.0,
      "planned_r": 0.733,
      "setups": "Uptrend, RSI-neutral, Strong trend (ADX)",
      "factors": [
        "uptrend",
        "rsi_neutral",
        "adx_strong"
      ],
      "unevaluable": null,
      "analyst_rev_delta": null,
      "analyst_buy_pct": null,
      "analyst_pt_gap": null
    },
    {
      "id": 15,
      "status": "CLOSED",
      "market": "US",
      "symbol": "XOM",
      "sector": "XLE",
      "side": "LONG",
      "qty": 14.0,
      "entry_price": 163.54,
      "entry_at": "2026-09-28T09:40:13.316339-04:00",
      "exit_price": 160.88,
      "exit_at": "2026-09-29T10:00:01.445236-04:00",
      "exit_reason": "STOP",
      "target_price": 165.77,
      "stop_price": 160.88,
      "realized_pnl": -37.24,
      "unrealized_pnl": 0.0,
      "last_price": 160.88,
      "holding_hours": 24.33,
      "r_multiple": -1.0,
      "planned_r": 0.838,
      "setups": "Uptrend, RSI-neutral, BB Squeeze",
      "factors": [
        "uptrend",
        "rsi_neutral",
        "bb_squeeze"
      ],
      "unevaluable": null,
      "analyst_rev_delta": null,
      "analyst_buy_pct": null,
      "analyst_pt_gap": null
    },
    {
      "id": 12,
      "status": "CLOSED",
      "market": "US",
      "symbol": "NVDA",
      "sector": "XLK",
      "side": "LONG",
      "qty": 85.0,
      "entry_price": 233.2,
      "entry_at": "2026-09-28T09:40:13.123509-04:00",
      "exit_price": 228.15,
      "exit_at": "2026-09-28T16:00:00.459977-04:00",
      "exit_reason": "STOP",
      "target_price": 238.45,
      "stop_price": 228.15,
      "realized_pnl": -429.25,
      "unrealized_pnl": 0.0,
      "last_price": 228.15,
      "holding_hours": 6.33,
      "r_multiple": -1.0,
      "planned_r": 1.04,
      "setups": "Uptrend, RSI-neutral, Strong candle, MACD expanding, BB Squeeze",
      "factors": [
        "uptrend",
        "rsi_neutral",
        "strong_candle",
        "macd_expanding",
        "bb_squeeze"
      ],
      "unevaluable": null,
      "analyst_rev_delta": null,
      "analyst_buy_pct": null,
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    },
    {
      "id": 11,
      "status": "CLOSED",
      "market": "US",
      "symbol": "SMCI",
      "sector": "XLK",
      "side": "LONG",
      "qty": 441.0,
      "entry_price": 42.65,
      "entry_at": "2026-09-25T09:40:12.896103-04:00",
      "exit_price": 41.23,
      "exit_at": "2026-09-28T11:00:00.446314-04:00",
      "exit_reason": "STOP",
      "target_price": 43.77,
      "stop_price": 41.23,
      "realized_pnl": -626.22,
      "unrealized_pnl": 0.0,
      "last_price": 41.23,
      "holding_hours": 73.33,
      "r_multiple": -1.0,
      "planned_r": 0.789,
      "setups": "Uptrend, RSI-neutral, Strong candle, Strong trend (ADX), MACD expanding",
      "factors": [
        "uptrend",
        "rsi_neutral",
        "strong_candle",
        "adx_strong",
        "macd_expanding"
      ],
      "unevaluable": null,
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      "analyst_buy_pct": null,
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    },
    {
      "id": 13,
      "status": "CLOSED",
      "market": "US",
      "symbol": "AMD",
      "sector": "XLK",
      "side": "LONG",
      "qty": 31.0,
      "entry_price": 629.64,
      "entry_at": "2026-09-28T09:40:13.145579-04:00",
      "exit_price": 610.1,
      "exit_at": "2026-09-28T10:00:02.094809-04:00",
      "exit_reason": "STOP",
      "target_price": 647.86,
      "stop_price": 610.1,
      "realized_pnl": -605.74,
      "unrealized_pnl": 0.0,
      "last_price": 610.1,
      "holding_hours": 0.33,
      "r_multiple": -1.0,
      "planned_r": 0.932,
      "setups": "Uptrend, RSI-hot, Strong candle, Extreme RSI momentum, Strong trend (ADX)",
      "factors": [
        "uptrend",
        "rsi_hot",
        "strong_candle",
        "rsi_momentum_z",
        "adx_strong"
      ],
      "unevaluable": null,
      "analyst_rev_delta": null,
      "analyst_buy_pct": null,
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    },
    {
      "id": 3,
      "status": "CLOSED",
      "market": "US",
      "symbol": "META",
      "sector": "XLC",
      "side": "LONG",
      "qty": 26.0,
      "entry_price": 757.27,
      "entry_at": "2026-09-22T09:40:13.400849-04:00",
      "exit_price": 751.66,
      "exit_at": "2026-09-28T09:00:00.476402-04:00",
      "exit_reason": "EXPIRED",
      "target_price": 798.17,
      "stop_price": 721.83,
      "realized_pnl": -145.86,
      "unrealized_pnl": 0.0,
      "last_price": 751.66,
      "holding_hours": 143.33,
      "r_multiple": -0.158,
      "planned_r": 1.154,
      "setups": "Uptrend, RSI-hot, Strong candle, Extreme RSI momentum, Strong trend (ADX), MACD expanding",
      "factors": [
        "uptrend",
        "rsi_hot",
        "strong_candle",
        "rsi_momentum_z",
        "adx_strong",
        "macd_expanding"
      ],
      "unevaluable": null,
      "analyst_rev_delta": null,
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    },
    {
      "id": 1,
      "status": "CLOSED",
      "market": "US",
      "symbol": "MRVL",
      "sector": "XLK",
      "side": "LONG",
      "qty": 76.0,
      "entry_price": 262.0,
      "entry_at": "2026-09-22T09:40:12.844798-04:00",
      "exit_price": 261.935,
      "exit_at": "2026-09-28T09:00:00.205632-04:00",
      "exit_reason": "EXPIRED",
      "target_price": 272.65,
      "stop_price": 251.1,
      "realized_pnl": -4.94,
      "unrealized_pnl": 0.0,
      "last_price": 261.935,
      "holding_hours": 143.33,
      "r_multiple": -0.006,
      "planned_r": 0.977,
      "setups": "Uptrend, RSI-hot, Strong candle, Bull flag, Extreme RSI momentum, MACD expanding",
      "factors": [
        "uptrend",
        "rsi_hot",
        "strong_candle",
        "bull_flag",
        "rsi_momentum_z",
        "macd_expanding"
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      "unevaluable": null,
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    },
    {
      "id": 6,
      "status": "CLOSED",
      "market": "US",
      "symbol": "TSLA",
      "sector": "XLY",
      "side": "LONG",
      "qty": 2.0,
      "entry_price": 379.25,
      "entry_at": "2026-09-22T09:40:13.515170-04:00",
      "exit_price": 368.97,
      "exit_at": "2026-09-25T11:00:00.710113-04:00",
      "exit_reason": "STOP",
      "target_price": 388.81,
      "stop_price": 368.97,
      "realized_pnl": -20.56,
      "unrealized_pnl": 0.0,
      "last_price": 368.97,
      "holding_hours": 73.33,
      "r_multiple": -1.0,
      "planned_r": 0.93,
      "setups": "Uptrend, RSI-neutral, ORB ready, MACD expanding, BB Squeeze",
      "factors": [
        "uptrend",
        "rsi_neutral",
        "orb_ready",
        "macd_expanding",
        "bb_squeeze"
      ],
      "unevaluable": null,
      "analyst_rev_delta": null,
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    },
    {
      "id": 4,
      "status": "CLOSED",
      "market": "US",
      "symbol": "AMD",
      "sector": "XLK",
      "side": "LONG",
      "qty": 32.0,
      "entry_price": 617.71,
      "entry_at": "2026-09-22T09:40:13.454298-04:00",
      "exit_price": 634.81,
      "exit_at": "2026-09-25T10:00:01.315246-04:00",
      "exit_reason": "TARGET",
      "target_price": 634.81,
      "stop_price": 598.81,
      "realized_pnl": 547.2,
      "unrealized_pnl": 0.0,
      "last_price": 634.81,
      "holding_hours": 72.33,
      "r_multiple": 0.905,
      "planned_r": 0.905,
      "setups": "Uptrend, RSI-hot, Bull flag, Extreme RSI momentum, MACD expanding",
      "factors": [
        "uptrend",
        "rsi_hot",
        "bull_flag",
        "rsi_momentum_z",
        "macd_expanding"
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      "unevaluable": null,
      "analyst_rev_delta": null,
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    },
    {
      "id": 9,
      "status": "CLOSED",
      "market": "US",
      "symbol": "ZS",
      "sector": "XLK",
      "side": "LONG",
      "qty": 16.0,
      "entry_price": 213.06,
      "entry_at": "2026-09-23T09:40:18.796369-04:00",
      "exit_price": 206.6,
      "exit_at": "2026-09-25T09:30:01.261488-04:00",
      "exit_reason": "STOP",
      "target_price": 218.24,
      "stop_price": 206.6,
      "realized_pnl": -103.36,
      "unrealized_pnl": 0.0,
      "last_price": 206.6,
      "holding_hours": 47.83,
      "r_multiple": -1.0,
      "planned_r": 0.802,
      "setups": "Uptrend, RSI-hot, Bull flag, Strong trend (ADX), MACD expanding",
      "factors": [
        "uptrend",
        "rsi_hot",
        "bull_flag",
        "adx_strong",
        "macd_expanding"
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      "unevaluable": null,
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    },
    {
      "id": 7,
      "status": "CLOSED",
      "market": "US",
      "symbol": "SMCI",
      "sector": "XLK",
      "side": "LONG",
      "qty": 387.0,
      "entry_price": 42.66,
      "entry_at": "2026-09-23T09:40:18.673922-04:00",
      "exit_price": 40.09,
      "exit_at": "2026-09-24T11:00:01.845427-04:00",
      "exit_reason": "STOP",
      "target_price": 45.45,
      "stop_price": 40.09,
      "realized_pnl": -994.59,
      "unrealized_pnl": 0.0,
      "last_price": 40.09,
      "holding_hours": 25.33,
      "r_multiple": -1.0,
      "planned_r": 1.086,
      "setups": "Uptrend, RSI-neutral, Bull flag, Strong trend (ADX), MACD expanding, BB Squeeze",
      "factors": [
        "uptrend",
        "rsi_neutral",
        "bull_flag",
        "adx_strong",
        "macd_expanding",
        "bb_squeeze"
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      "unevaluable": null,
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    },
    {
      "id": 8,
      "status": "CLOSED",
      "market": "US",
      "symbol": "MSFT",
      "sector": "XLK",
      "side": "LONG",
      "qty": 39.0,
      "entry_price": 508.75,
      "entry_at": "2026-09-23T09:40:18.732607-04:00",
      "exit_price": 497.1,
      "exit_at": "2026-09-23T10:30:01.929597-04:00",
      "exit_reason": "STOP",
      "target_price": 521.42,
      "stop_price": 497.1,
      "realized_pnl": -454.35,
      "unrealized_pnl": 0.0,
      "last_price": 497.1,
      "holding_hours": 0.83,
      "r_multiple": -1.0,
      "planned_r": 1.088,
      "setups": "Uptrend, RSI-neutral, Strong candle, Strong trend (ADX), BB Squeeze",
      "factors": [
        "uptrend",
        "rsi_neutral",
        "strong_candle",
        "adx_strong",
        "bb_squeeze"
      ],
      "unevaluable": null,
      "analyst_rev_delta": null,
      "analyst_buy_pct": null,
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    },
    {
      "id": 5,
      "status": "CLOSED",
      "market": "US",
      "symbol": "SMCI",
      "sector": "XLK",
      "side": "LONG",
      "qty": 483.0,
      "entry_price": 41.4,
      "entry_at": "2026-09-22T09:40:13.484632-04:00",
      "exit_price": 42.3,
      "exit_at": "2026-09-23T09:30:01.127058-04:00",
      "exit_reason": "TARGET",
      "target_price": 42.3,
      "stop_price": 40.09,
      "realized_pnl": 434.7,
      "unrealized_pnl": 0.0,
      "last_price": 42.3,
      "holding_hours": 23.83,
      "r_multiple": 0.687,
      "planned_r": 0.687,
      "setups": "Uptrend, RSI-neutral, Strong trend (ADX), MACD expanding, BB Squeeze",
      "factors": [
        "uptrend",
        "rsi_neutral",
        "adx_strong",
        "macd_expanding",
        "bb_squeeze"
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      "unevaluable": null,
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    },
    {
      "id": 2,
      "status": "CLOSED",
      "market": "US",
      "symbol": "MSFT",
      "sector": "XLK",
      "side": "LONG",
      "qty": 39.0,
      "entry_price": 508.5,
      "entry_at": "2026-09-22T09:40:13.356530-04:00",
      "exit_price": 497.67,
      "exit_at": "2026-09-22T10:00:00.931546-04:00",
      "exit_reason": "STOP",
      "target_price": 520.28,
      "stop_price": 497.67,
      "realized_pnl": -422.37,
      "unrealized_pnl": 0.0,
      "last_price": 497.67,
      "holding_hours": 0.33,
      "r_multiple": -1.0,
      "planned_r": 1.088,
      "setups": "Uptrend, RSI-neutral, Strong candle, Strong trend (ADX), BB Squeeze",
      "factors": [
        "uptrend",
        "rsi_neutral",
        "strong_candle",
        "adx_strong",
        "bb_squeeze"
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      "unevaluable": null,
      "analyst_rev_delta": null,
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    }
  ],
  "open_positions": [
    {
      "id": 19,
      "status": "OPEN",
      "market": "US",
      "symbol": "AAPL",
      "sector": "XLK",
      "side": "LONG",
      "qty": 3.0,
      "entry_price": 337.06,
      "entry_at": "2026-09-29T09:40:13.367016-04:00",
      "exit_price": null,
      "exit_at": null,
      "exit_reason": null,
      "target_price": 344.56,
      "stop_price": 330.1,
      "realized_pnl": null,
      "unrealized_pnl": -16.47,
      "last_price": 331.57,
      "holding_hours": null,
      "r_multiple": null,
      "planned_r": 1.078,
      "setups": "Uptrend, RSI-hot, ORB ready, BB Squeeze",
      "factors": [
        "uptrend",
        "rsi_hot",
        "orb_ready",
        "bb_squeeze"
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    },
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      "id": 18,
      "status": "OPEN",
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      "sector": "XLK",
      "side": "LONG",
      "qty": 16.0,
      "entry_price": 1079.39,
      "entry_at": "2026-09-29T09:40:13.308237-04:00",
      "exit_price": null,
      "exit_at": null,
      "exit_reason": null,
      "target_price": 1111.92,
      "stop_price": 1044.66,
      "realized_pnl": null,
      "unrealized_pnl": -116.0,
      "last_price": 1072.14,
      "holding_hours": null,
      "r_multiple": null,
      "planned_r": 0.937,
      "setups": "Uptrend, RSI-neutral, Strong candle",
      "factors": [
        "uptrend",
        "rsi_neutral",
        "strong_candle"
      ],
      "unevaluable": null,
      "analyst_rev_delta": null,
      "analyst_buy_pct": null,
      "analyst_pt_gap": null
    },
    {
      "id": 16,
      "status": "OPEN",
      "market": "US",
      "symbol": "NVDA",
      "sector": "XLK",
      "side": "LONG",
      "qty": 82.0,
      "entry_price": 232.82,
      "entry_at": "2026-09-29T09:40:13.211422-04:00",
      "exit_price": null,
      "exit_at": null,
      "exit_reason": null,
      "target_price": 236.81,
      "stop_price": 228.59,
      "realized_pnl": null,
      "unrealized_pnl": -295.61,
      "last_price": 229.215,
      "holding_hours": null,
      "r_multiple": null,
      "planned_r": 0.943,
      "setups": "Uptrend, RSI-neutral, MACD expanding, BB Squeeze",
      "factors": [
        "uptrend",
        "rsi_neutral",
        "macd_expanding",
        "bb_squeeze"
      ],
      "unevaluable": null,
      "analyst_rev_delta": null,
      "analyst_buy_pct": null,
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    },
    {
      "id": 14,
      "status": "OPEN",
      "market": "US",
      "symbol": "META",
      "sector": "XLC",
      "side": "LONG",
      "qty": 25.0,
      "entry_price": 750.42,
      "entry_at": "2026-09-28T09:40:13.235880-04:00",
      "exit_price": null,
      "exit_at": null,
      "exit_reason": null,
      "target_price": 795.12,
      "stop_price": 711.4,
      "realized_pnl": null,
      "unrealized_pnl": -579.87,
      "last_price": 727.225,
      "holding_hours": null,
      "r_multiple": null,
      "planned_r": 1.146,
      "setups": "Uptrend, RSI-hot, Strong candle, Strong trend (ADX)",
      "factors": [
        "uptrend",
        "rsi_hot",
        "strong_candle",
        "adx_strong"
      ],
      "unevaluable": null,
      "analyst_rev_delta": null,
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    },
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